Tag: Monte Carlo
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Monte Carlo VaR Underestimates Tail Risk: 3 Distribution Fixes
Monte Carlo VaR fails in extreme markets. Compare Gaussian, t-distribution, and GARCH models to capture fat tails and improve risk estimates.
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Bayesian A/B Testing: Beta-Binomial for Small Samples
Get actionable A/B test results with 50 conversions, not 5,000. Beta-Binomial conjugacy gives you posteriors and expected loss in minutes.